It also took housing units off the market and increased rental rates. In fact, inventory is so low multifamily building has increased.
By Kerri Ann Panchuk October 23, 2012 • 3:57pmThe United States added 4.8 million renters in the past six years while losing 1.7 million owner households as the dynamics of the real estate space changed in the wake of the 2008 financial meltdown, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
The market experienced additional changes in the first nine months of 2012, creating unexpected outcomes in the housing finance sector, prompting the MBA to alter its forecastfor 2012.In brief, the MBA revised its estimate for 2012 mortgage originations to $1.7 trillion, up from $1.4 trillion a year earlier. Still, the trade group predicts total originations will taper off to $1.3 trillion in 2013, eventually hitting $1.1 trillion in 2014. However, mortgage rates are expected to hover below 4% through the mid-part of next year.
The MBA expects gross domestic product will inch up from 1.6% in 2012 to 2% in 2013. Meanwhile, the forecast suggests existing home sales will increase from 4.6 million in 2012 to approximately 4.78 million next year.
Still, economic growth is contingent on government tax policies and at least a temporary avoidance of the fiscal cliff in early 2013.
“The tax increase in particular would be devastating to economic growth,” said MBA chief economist Jay Brinkmann. “We believe that the entire package of tax increases and spending cuts, if left unaltered, would cut 3.5 to 4 percentage points from our growth forecast.”
Another outlier is the final definition of the qualified mortgage rule from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which will define what type of mortgage qualifies as safe from repurchase risk in cases of default. It’s unknown whether the final rule from CFPB, which is due out in January, will contain a safe harbor provision to protect lenders from buy back risk if they follow the guidelines.
These forecasts are based on the idea that QM comes in with a safe harbor and legislatures get past the fiscal cliff without dramatic spending and tax changes, said Mike Fratantoni, the MBA vice president of research and economics.
Wouldn't you be embarrassed to overpay by $100,000? Only fools buy houses without knowing neighborhood values. Don't be a fool. Don't suffer the pain of an underwater mortgage. The surest way to lose your house is to overpay for it. Our reports identify overvalued and undervalued neighborhoods. Use it to broaden or narrow your search area. Savvy buyers work with us to find bargains. We've saved thousands from financial ruin. Let us save you too. If you want peace of mind while shopping for your next home, sign up for our monthly market newsletter.
We're sorry, but it seems that we're having some problems loading MLS # R1205342 from our database. Please check back soon.
Proprietary OC Housing News home purchase analysis
$469,000 …….. Asking Price
$240,000 ………. Purchase Price
12/21/1999 ………. Purchase Date
$229,000 ………. Gross Gain (Loss)
($19,200) ………… Commissions and Costs at 8%
$209,800 ………. Net Gain (Loss)
95.4% ………. Gross Percent Change
87.4% ………. Net Percent Change
5.2% ………… Annual Appreciation
Cost of Home Ownership
$469,000 …….. Asking Price
$16,415 ………… 3.5% Down FHA Financing
3.50% …………. Mortgage Interest Rate
30 ……………… Number of Years
$452,585 …….. Mortgage
$117,192 ………. Income Requirement
$2,032 ………… Monthly Mortgage Payment
$406 ………… Property Tax at 1.04%
$0 ………… Mello Roos & Special Taxes
$117 ………… Homeowners Insurance at 0.3%
$471 ………… Private Mortgage Insurance
$0 ………… Homeowners Association Fees
$3,027 ………. Monthly Cash Outlays
($302) ………. Tax Savings
($712) ………. Equity Hidden in Payment
$18 ………….. Lost Income to Down Payment
$137 ………….. Maintenance and Replacement Reserves
$2,169 ………. Monthly Cost of Ownership
Cash Acquisition Demands
$6,190 ………… Furnishing and Move In at 1% + $1,500
$6,190 ………… Closing Costs at 1% + $1,500
$4,526 ………… Interest Points
$16,415 ………… Down Payment
$33,321 ………. Total Cash Costs
$33,200 ………. Emergency Cash Reserves
$66,521 ………. Total Savings Needed
The property above is available for sale on the MLS.Contact us for a comparative market analysis, a cost of ownership analysis, or information on how you can make an offer today!
Cost of Ownership AnalysisAre you ready to make an offer, but you are worried the cost of ownership is really more than you can afford? Don't make a mistake that might cost you the family home, your life savings, and your good credit! Get the advice of a seasoned professional. Contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org today! We produce detailed reports showing the cost of ownership based on the most likely transaction price and current financing terms. You will know how much you will spend each month in out-of-pocket expenditures and the true monthly cost of ownership factoring in tax deductions, loan amortization, and opportunity costs on your down payment. In addition, we show you how this cost compares to a rental of equal quality to make sure buying is the right decision for your situation. An OC Housing News Cost of Ownership Analysis will calm your worries and give you peace-of-mind. Let us show you the way! Reports are available for properties in the Southern California MLS coverage area, and are generally delivered within 24-72 hours. If you wish to receive multiple properties, please contact us at email@example.com, and we will prepare the reports for you.
OC Housing News FREE Guides!
Nearby ForeclosuresGain a competitive advantage over other buyers. By locating distressed properties -- before they hit the MLS -- you can discover where tomorrow's REOs and short sales will appear. Most of these properties are not listed on the MLS, but they will be soon. Research properties in advance and get a jump on your competition. Don't miss out on another deal because you couldn't act quickly. Use this tool to your advantage! The red properties are already bank owned. As soon as REO asset managers prepare them for sale, they will be on the MLS. Get ready! The green and blue properties have owners who are not paying their mortgages. They may be offered as short sales, or they may go through foreclosure and become REO. Either way, they will also likely be available on the MLS soon. Find your next home! Be prepared to offer on these properties by researching them in advance or risk losing out to buyers who are have done their homework. Start your research today! To find distressed properties, enter your desired location and press search. Scroll through list by pressing "next."
Comparative Market AnalysisAre you ready to make an offer, but you are worried you will either (1) underbid and miss the property or (2) overbid and pay too much? Don't make a mistake and miss your dream home, or worse yet, overpay for it! Get the advice of a seasoned professional. Contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org today! Are you thinking about selling, but you are worried you will either (1) overprice and fail to sell or (2) underprice and leave money at the negotiating table? We are the experts in real estate valuation. Work with us to set the right prices to sell your property quickly for the largest amount possible. Let us show you what your property is worth today! An OC Housing News Comparative Market Analysis will calm your worries and give you peace-of-mind. See for yourself right now! Reports are available for properties in the Southern California MLS coverage area, and are generally delivered within 24-72 hours. If you wish to receive multiple properties, please contact us at email@example.com, and we will prepare the reports for you.